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    Roulette bernoulli games

    Understanding games of chance such as card and dice games as well as roulette. It is our purpose here to briefly discuss the probabilities associated with such games of chance. Early mathematicians such as Fermat, Pascal, Laplace, Bernoulli, and Gauss devoted some of their time to understanding games of chance in terms of the.

    Roulette
    1. Portrait of Daniel Bernoulli (1700-1782) Wikipedia Image. Bernoulli introduced his problem in a journal of the Imperial Academy of Science of Saint Petersburg, after which it came to be known as the Saint Petersburg Paradox. And like many good paradoxes it involves a game of chance. It’s a great game — you’re guaranteed to win money.
    2. Details The Bernoulli distribution with prob = p has density p (x) = p x (1 − p) 1 − x for x = 0 o r 1. If an element of x is not 0 or 1, the result of dbern is zero, without a warning. P (x) is computed using Loader's algorithm, see the reference below.
    3. Example 1-Suppose David goes to a casino and plays a single game by spinning in a roulette wheel so the. Weak Law is also known as Khinchin’s law or Bernoulli’s theorem states that if the.

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    RouletteRoulette


    Roulette Bernoulli Game

    Occupancy Probability for 38 Number Roulette Wheel

    Roulette Bernoulli Equation


    For our next problem, let us calculate the probabilty of getting all 38 numbers after spinning a roulette wheel 152 times.

    (An American roulette wheel has the numbers 1 through 36 plus zero and double zero.)

    STEP 1
    To determine the number of all the results of spinning a 38 number roulette wheel 152 times we raise 'n' to the power of 'r':

    38152
    which equals
    1.34 × 10240

    Then in steps 2, 3, 4 and 5, we will determine how many of those 38152 spins, will contain all 38 numbers.

    STEP 2
    We must calculate each value of 'n' raised to the power of 'r'.
    Rather than explain, this is much easier to show:

    38152 = 1.34 × 10240
    37152 = 2.33 × 10238
    36152 = 3.61 × 10236
    35152 = 4.99 × 10234
    34152 = 6.09 × 10232
    33152 = 6.52 × 10230
    32152 = 6.06 × 10228
    31152 = 4.86 × 10226
    30152 = 3.33 × 10224
    29152 = 1.93 × 10222
    28152 = 9.29 × 10219
    27152 = 3.69 × 10217
    26152 = 1.19 × 10215
    25152 = 3.07 × 10212
    24152 = 6.20 × 10209
    23152 = 9.61 × 10206
    22152 = 1.12 × 10204
    21152 = 9.49 × 10200
    20152 = 5.71 × 10197
    19152 = 2.35 × 10194
    18152 = 6.33 × 10190
    17152 = 1.07 × 10187
    16152 = 1.06 × 10183
    15152 = 5.83 × 10178
    14152 = 1.63 × 10174
    13152 = 2.09 × 10169
    12152 = 1.09 × 10164
    11152 = 1.96 × 10158
    10152 = 1.00 × 10152
    9152 = 1.11 × 10145
    8152 = 1.86 × 10137
    7152 = 2.85 × 10128
    6152 = 1.90 × 10118
    5152 = 1.75 × 10106
    4152 = 3.26 × 1091
    3152 = 3.33 × 1072
    2152 = 5.71 × 1045
    1152 = 1


    STEP 3
    Next, we calculate how many combinations can be made from 'n' objects for each value of 'n'.
    Tthis is much easier to show than explain:

    38 C 38 = 1
    37 C 38 = 37
    36 C 38 = 703
    35 C 38 = 8,436
    34 C 38 = 73,815
    33 C 38 = 501,942
    32 C 38 = 2,760,681
    31 C 38 = 12,620,256
    30 C 38 = 48,903,492
    29 C 38 = 163,011,640
    28 C 38 = 472,733,756
    27 C 38 = 1,203,322,288
    26 C 38 = 2,707,475,148
    25 C 38 = 5,414,950,296
    24 C 38 = 9,669,554,100
    23 C 38 = 15,471,286,560
    22 C 38 = 22,239,974,430
    21 C 38 = 28,781,143,380
    20 C 38 = 33,578,000,610
    19 C 38 = 35,345,263,800
    18 C 38 = 33,578,000,610
    17 C 38 = 28,781,143,380
    16 C 38 = 22,239,974,430
    15 C 38 = 15,471,286,560
    14 C 38 = 9,669,554,100
    13 C 38 = 5,414,950,296
    12 C 38 = 2,707,475,148
    11 C 38 = 1,203,322,288
    10 C 38 = 472,733,756
    9 C 38 = 16,3011,640
    8 C 38 = 48,903,492
    7 C 38 = 12,620,256
    6 C 38 = 2,760,681
    5 C 38 = 501,942
    4 C 38 = 73,815
    3 C 38 = 8,436
    2 C 38 = 703
    1 C 38 = 38

    Basically, this is saying that
    38 objects can be chosen from a set of 38 in 1 way
    37 objects can be chosen from a set of 38 in 37 ways
    36 objects can be chosen from a set of 38 in 703 ways
    .......................................................................................

    2 objects can be chosen from a set of 38 in 703 ways
    1 object can be chosen from a set of 38 in 38 ways


    STEP 4
    We then calculate the product of the first calculation of STEP 2 times the first calculation of STEP 3 and do so throughout all 38 numbers.

    For example,
    1.34 × 10240 × 1 = 1.34 × 10240
    2.33 × 10238 × 37 = 8.84 × 10239
    and so on
    1.34 × 10240
    8.84 × 10239
    2.54 × 10239
    4.21 × 10238
    4.50 × 10237
    3.27 × 10236
    1.67 × 10235
    6.14 × 10233
    1.63 × 10232
    3.14 × 10230
    4.39 × 10228
    4.44 × 10226
    3.22 × 10224
    1.66 × 10222
    5.99 × 10219
    1.49 × 10217
    2.49 × 10214
    2.73 × 10211
    1.92 × 10208
    8.30 × 10204
    2.13 × 10201
    3.07 × 10197
    2.36 × 10193
    9.02 × 10188
    1.57 × 10184
    1.13 × 10179
    2.94 × 10173
    2.36 × 10167
    4.73 × 10160
    1.81 × 10153
    9.1 × 10144
    3.60 × 10135
    5.25 × 10124
    8.79 × 10111
    2.41 × 1096
    2.81 × 1076
    4.01 × 1048
    38
    Total
    1.36 × 10240


    STEP 5
    Then, alternating from plus to minus, we sum the 38 terms we just calculated.

    + 1.34 × 10240
    - 8.84 × 10239
    + 2.54 × 10239
    - 4.21 × 10238
    + 4.50 × 10237
    - 3.27 × 10236
    + 1.67 × 10235
    - 6.14 × 10233
    + 1.63 × 10232
    - 3.14 × 10230
    + 4.39 × 10228
    - 4.44 × 10226
    + 3.22 × 10224
    - 1.66 × 10222
    + 5.99 × 10219
    - 1.49 × 10217
    + 2.49 × 10214
    - 2.73 × 10211
    + 1.92 × 10208
    - 8.30 × 10204
    + 2.13 × 10201
    - 3.07 × 10197
    + 2.36 × 10193
    - 9.02 × 10188
    + 1.57 × 10184
    - 1.13 × 10179
    + 2.94 × 10173
    - 2.36 × 10167
    + 4.73 × 10160
    - 1.81 × 10153
    + 9.10 × 10144
    - 3.60 × 10135
    + 5.25 × 10124
    - 8.79 × 10111
    + 2.41 × 1096
    - 2.81 × 1076
    + 4.01 × 1048
    - 38
    Total
    + 6.72 × 10239
    6.72 × 10239 equals the total number of ways a 38 number
    roulette wheel will show all 38 numbers after 152 spins.

    STEP 6
    So, if we take the number
    1.36 × 10240 (all results of spinning a 38 number roulette wheel 152 times)
    and divide it by
    6.72 × 10239 (all results of all 38 numbers appearing after 152 spins),
    we get the probability of rolling all 38 numbers appearing after 152 spins.
    Probability = 6.72 × 10239 ÷ 1.34 × 10240 = 0.501599170962349

    Basically, you would have to spin a roulette wheel at least 152 times in order to have a better than 50 / 50 chance of spinning all 152 numbers.


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